Thursday, March 15, 2012

Climate Change | CO2 Concentration Highest in 800,000 Years

Mar 14, 2012; 3:42 PM ET
The concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide in 2011 was the highest in 800,000 years, according to Australia's Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization or CSIRO.
The average, global concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) during 2011 was 390 parts per million. The natural range during the past 800,000 years was between 170 and 300 ppm.
CSIRO also noted that fossil-fuel emissions of carbon dioxide increased by over 3% per year between 2000 and 2010.
The CSIRO chart below tracks the amount of global fossil-fuel CO2 emissions since 1990. The orange line is strictly fossil-fuel emissions, while the grey line represents total CO2 emissions, which includes emissions from both fossil-fuel and land-use change.
Image courtesy of CSIRO.
Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions account for about 60 per cent of the effect from anthropogenic greenhouse gases on the earth's energy balance over the past 250 years. These global CO2 emissions are mostly from fossil fuels (more than 85 per cent), land use change, mainly associated with tropical deforestation (less than ten per cent), and cement production and other industrial processes (about four per cent), according to the new CSIRO 2012 State of the Climate Report.

NASA Crushes 2012 Mayan Apocalypso Claims

Mar 15, 2012; 10:39 AM ET


 Scientists at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory have put out a new video to address false claims about the "Mayan apocalypse," a non-event that some people believe will bring the world to an end on Dec. 21.

In the video, which was posted online Wednesday (Mar. 7), Don Yeomans, head of the Near-Earth Objects Program Office at NASA/JPL, explains away many of the most frequently cited doomsday scenarios. [See video]

Addressing the belief that the calendar used by the ancient Mayan civilization comes to a sudden end in December 2012, and that this will coincide with a cataclysmic, world-ending event, Yeomans said: "Their calendar does not end on December 21, 2012; it's just the end of the cycle and the beginning of a new one. It's just like on December 31, our calendar comes to an end, but a new calendar begins on January 1."
Yeomans also attempted to allay fears regarding potential causes of a Mayan apocalypse, including Nibiru, an imaginary planet that some people think is swinging in from the outer solar system just in time to collide with Earth in December. "This enormous planet is supposed to be coming toward Earth, but if it were, we would have seen it long ago. And if it were invisible somehow, we would have seen the [gravitational] effects of this planet on neighboring planets. Thousands of astronomers who scan the sky on a daily basis have not seen this," he said. [Believers In Mysterious Planet Nibiru Await Earth's End]

He added that there is zero possibility of a NASA cover-up. "Can you imagine thousands of astronomers who observe the skies on a daily basis keeping the same secret from the public for several years?"

As for solar flares, Yeomans explained that these do exist - in fact, two massive solar flares erupted just days ago, sending bursts of solar radiation into space - but they are part of the sun's normal 11-year cycle. Radiation from solar flares can damage orbiting satellites, but Earth's magnetosphere shields its inhabitants from the blasts, and the flares are not a health concern.

"Then we have planetary alignments," Yeomans said. Some doomsayers believe the other planets and the sun will align with the Earth in December and cause catastrophic tidal effects. "Well, first of all, there are no planetary alignments in December of 2012, and even if there were, there are no tidal effects on the Earth as a result. The only two bodies in the solar system that can affect the Earth's tides are the moon, which is very close, and the sun, which is massive and also fairly close. But the other planets have a negligible effect on the Earth."

(Incidentally, it is perfectly normal for the sun and moon to align, bolstering each other's  gravitational pulls on Earth and generating higher-than-normal ocean tides. This happens twice each month.)

Addressing the claim that Earth's axes are going to shift on Dec. 21, 2012, he said: "The rotation axis can't shift because the orbit of the moon around the Earth stabilizes it and doesn't allow it to shift." He noted that the magnetic field does shift every half-million years or so, but "there's no evidence it's going to happen in December, and even if it were to be shifting, it takes thousands of years to do so. And even if it did shift, it's not going to cause a problem on the Earth apart from the fact that we're going to have to recalibrate our compasses." [What If Earth's Magnetic Poles Flip?]

Invoking the astronomer Carl Sagan's famous maxim, he said: "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. Since the beginning of time there have been literally hundreds of thousands of predictions for the end of the world, and we're still here."


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Natalie Wolchover

Warm Weather May Jump-Start Allergy Season

Mar 13, 2012; 2:05 PM ET
With heavy snowfall and frigid winters replaced by mild temperatures this year, many allergy sufferers have had no break from traditionally seasonal allergies. The mild winter paired with a seemingly early spring has forced sufferers to keep tissues on hand year-round -- an irritating problem that may worsen in the upcoming weeks.
Pollen, one of the most common allergens, may be especially problematic this year as warm temperatures can allow plants to pollinate sooner.
According to the Asthma and Allergy Foundation of America (AAFA), though 50 million Americans suffer from all types of allergies, approximately 40 million of these cases have indoor/outdoor allergies as their primary allergy.
"The most common indoor/outdoor allergy triggers are: tree, grass and weed pollen; mold spores; dust mite and cockroach allergen; and, cat, dog and rodent dander," the AAFA cites.
According to the American Academy of Allergy, Asthma and Immunology (AAAAI), trees such as birch, cedar, cottonwood and pine are big allergy triggers and generally pollinate in the spring.
With early March bringing temperatures as high as the 70s to parts of the U.S., it's possible that these trees will pollinate weeks sooner, lengthening this year's allergy season.
Pollen counts for these allergens are already spiking across the U.S., with nearly half of the country facing moderate to high pollen levels.
Pine tree photo by photos.com

However, does this mean it will be a particularly bad year for allergy sufferers?
"According to a report by the Asthma and Allergy Foundation of America at the National Wildlife Federation, earlier springs could potentially cause more pollen exposure for many people, prolonging the problem," Mike Tringale, Vice President of External Affairs at the AAFA said.
"In addition, increases of CO2 pollution in certain cities may promote more active pollen production by plants making pollen concentrations even higher."

But the early spring allergies aren't necessarily an indicator that summer and fall will be worse than usual.
"Pollination from season to season has always been an overlapping condition for most of the U.S., as pollination doesn't have a clear-cut start or end date: spring blends into summer, which blends in to fall, etc.," Tringale said.
"However, overall, pollen concentrations in the U.S. have increased year-to-year during the last decade, with no expectation for a decline this year."
But those allergic to seasonal allergens, such as grass and weeds, have a bit more time before symptoms kick into high gear. Grass usually releases its pollen in the late summer months and weed-induced allergies often strike in the fall.
Despite the potentially early onset of any allergy, there are ways to reduce symptoms. The AAAAI recommends limiting outdoor activities on days with high pollen counts, keeping windows shut in the home and car to reduce pollen exposure and to shower after coming indoors, as pollen in hair and on skin could
irritate allergy sufferers long after they've come inside.