Apr 10, 2012; 9:31 PM ET
The updated ECMWF long range seasonal forecast was released yesterday. In addition to the temperature and rainfall anomaly forecast for the summer, the model also shows......
1. ENSO phase shifting to weak/moderate El Nino by the end of summer according to its ensemble forecast.
2. Below-normal tropical activity in the central Atlantic (less Cape Verde storms), but slightly above normal activity off the Southeast U.S. coast as storms may form not too far off the coast instead of long tracking ones that form over the central Atlantic.
3. Above-normal temperatures over eastern North America for the first half of Fall.
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