Feb 22, 2012; 1:12 PM ET
The southwestern Indian Ocean could see a new tropical cyclone by the end of the week.
Were a cyclone to form in the area, it could pose a threat to Madagascar, which was dealt a destructive blow by Severe Tropical Cyclone Giovanna at mid-February.
Likewise, the Mascarene Islands, Mauritius and Reunion, could also feel the effects of any cyclone in the area.
The area favorable for development of a tropical cyclone will be a broad swatch of warm tropical ocean well east of northern Madagascar. Once formed, steering winds would then guide the weather system to the west and southwest.
Destructive landfall by Giovanna happened shortly after midnight on Feb. 14 near Toamasina, on the east coast of Madagascar. The storm swept inland, unleashing torrential rain and damaging winds in the capital, Antananarivo
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