Mar 27, 2012; 8:50 AM ET
Comments
1. I said in a tweet this morning not to trust anything beyond day 5 on the models. The last couple of weeks, the models have been doing a poor job with the overall pattern. They flip-flop with every run and there's no consistency. I am really not sure what is going on because there really is not really clear indicator. All the indicators including the SOI, PNA and NAO are bouncing around right now ,so trying to grasp anyone indicator or series of indicators on the longer range is just about impossible. So basically, I am sticking to the forecasts within the five-day cycle for now.
2. The next two days, we have a cold front pushing across the eastern part of the country that will produce occasional heavy thunderstorms. Most of the storms will be elevated with hail and gusty winds the main impacts. Elevated storms basically means the base of the storms are higher above 7,000 feet on average. Most thunderstorm bases are down around 5,000 feet on average.
That's all I have for today.
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